This event group covers a Brazil Série A match between CR Flamengo and Cruzeiro EC scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score, all resolving based on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official CBF final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete matches (official score or credible consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
cbf.com.br (Brazil Football Confederation official final score)
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Cruzeiro -2.5, Cruzeiro -1.5, Flamengo -1.5, Flamengo -2.5) resolve based on goal margin: Cruzeiro -2.5 resolves YES if Cruzeiro wins by 3+ goals; Cruzeiro -1.5 resolves YES if Cruzeiro wins by 2+ goals; Flamengo -1.5 resolves YES if Flamengo wins by 2+ goals; Flamengo -2.5 resolves YES if Flamengo wins by 3+ goals.
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined goals: Over 1.5 if 2+ combined goals; Over 2.5 if 3+ combined goals; Over 3.5 if 4+ combined goals; Over 4.5 if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores at least one goal; NO if either team scores zero.
Resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
If match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on cbf.com.br. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game has been completed.
Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based only on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from all market calculations.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on cbf.com.br, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if credible reporting consensus is required.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.