TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 10:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Brasil vs. Vila Nova FC match originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Vila Nova FC, scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CR Brasil vs. Vila Nova FC match originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—meaning odds shift based on real-time supply and demand. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news, injury reports, and sentiment faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities here to major sportsbook odds can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on the likelihood of each exact score, potentially highlighting value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds for each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing their chosen scoreline, and the price of each share adjusts continuously based on the ratio of shares bought and sold. The more capital flowing into a particular exact score, the higher its price and implied probability climb. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the verified final scoreline from credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding shares in the correct exact-score outcome will receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Until that moment, prices will fluctuate as new match information—team news, betting patterns, and live-game developments—reaches the market.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before Jul 27, 2026. Injury announcements or lineup changes for either team will alter perceived match difficulty and scoring likelihood. Betting-market activity and sharp-money flows often precede prediction-market moves, so watching sportsbook line movement can signal incoming repricing. Team form, recent head-to-head results, and weather conditions closer to kickoff may also trigger trader repositioning. Live-match developments—early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—will drive the most dramatic repricing as the game unfolds and certain scorelines become more or less probable.