TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the margin of victory in the same soccer match, focusing on whether either team wins by a sufficient number of goals. The result hinges on the difference in scores favoring either CR Brasil or Sport Recife.
This event evaluates whether CR Brasil or Sport Recife achieves a win margin exceeding specified goal differences in their professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match on September 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Separate markets define varying margin thresholds for each team, resolving to Yes if the winning team's margin surpasses the respective threshold. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. Therefore, you might find that the implied probability of an outcome in this market diverges from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two and consider why any discrepancies exist.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the CR Brasil vs Sport Recife match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions impacting the match could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could create momentum and cause the price to move significantly. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential market movements.