TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Goiás EC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil score more goals than Goiás EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Brasil and Goiás EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Goiás EC" if Goiás EC score more goals than CR Brasil in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Goiás EC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil score more goals than Goiás EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Brasil and Goiás EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Goiás EC" if Goiás EC score more goals than CR Brasil in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders competing to profit on their forecasts. Sportsbooks may adjust lines faster in response to injury news or late-breaking information, whereas this market aggregates distributed trader beliefs in real time. Both can serve as useful benchmarks, but prediction markets are often studied for their forecast accuracy because traders have direct financial incentive to price outcomes correctly.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—CR Brasil win, Goiás win, or draw—has its own share price, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. As traders place orders, prices adjust to reflect the collective probability estimate. The current implied probability for the top outcome reflects the aggregated conviction of all active traders, updated continuously until the market resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the second half of the CR Brasil vs. Goiás match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded for that half. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, pending confirmation from authoritative sports data sources.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can shift trader expectations significantly. Early first-half performance often influences second-half predictions, as fatigue, momentum, and adjusted strategies become apparent. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards during live play all create new information that traders incorporate into prices. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one outcome can also trigger rapid repricing. Close to Jul 12, 2026, late-breaking team updates or unexpected developments in the first half typically generate the most volatile price movements.