TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 8:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Goias will defeat CR Brasil in their Brasileiro Serie B professional soccer match. On Kalshi, the probability that Goias wins stands at 23.0%, while CR Brasil winning is priced at 77.0%. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, as determined by official match records. Watch for the conclusion of the match scheduled for July 12, 2026, which will determine the final resolution on July 13, 2026.
Resolution is based on the final result of the CR Brasil vs Goias Brasileiro Serie B match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each possible outcome—CR Brasil victory, Goias victory, or a tie—resolves its respective market to Yes according to the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than major sportsbooks depending on liquidity and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp bettors see value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate in real time as new trades execute, reflecting the marginal probability assigned by the last matched order. The platform's transparent price history lets you see how sentiment has evolved, making it easy to identify momentum shifts and key turning points in trader positioning ahead of the match.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the final score and official match result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions quickly. Check the platform's event details for any specific rules governing draws, postponements, or other contingencies that may affect settlement.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head records. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors can also shift trader sentiment. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicates entering positions may trigger sharp price moves. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking developments—such as unexpected absences or tactical changes—often drive final volatility in the odds.