TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines the winning margin in the CR Brasil vs Cuiaba match, determining whether either team secures a victory by a particular number of goals during regular time. Markets are set for both teams achieving wins with margins above specified values.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if either team wins the CR Brasil vs Cuiaba professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. Markets specify thresholds for CR Brasil winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and for Cuiaba winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the result meets or exceeds the threshold for the specified team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting discrepancies between the two. It's common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, leading to potentially more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the CR Brasil vs Cuiaba match, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in public sentiment, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can quickly move the market, especially with the current volume of $6,908. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.