TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil score more goals than Clube Náutico Capibaribe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Brasil and Clube Náutico Capibaribe score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe score more goals than CR Brasil in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between CR Brasil and Clube Náutico Capibaribe, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Brasil" if CR Brasil score more goals than Clube Náutico Capibaribe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CR Brasil and Clube Náutico Capibaribe score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Clube Náutico Capibaribe" if Clube Náutico Capibaribe score more goals than CR Brasil in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower probability for CR Brasil's second-half victory than major sportsbooks, depending on where informed traders see value. Comparing the two can reveal consensus gaps: if sportsbooks and prediction markets align closely, the line is likely efficient; significant divergence may signal where one venue underprices or overprices the outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all participants holding positions. As traders buy shares of CR Brasil winning the second half, the price rises; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information, team news, or shifts in trader sentiment right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the CR Brasil vs. Náutico match concludes. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares of the winning outcome receive their payout after the result is confirmed and the market is officially settled. Until that point, positions remain open and prices may continue to shift based on live match developments and trader activity.
Several catalysts could shift odds before and during the match. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders reassess CR Brasil's second-half prospects. First-half performance is a major signal; if CR Brasil dominates early, traders may increase their probability estimate for a strong second half, or vice versa. Momentum swings, substitutions, and red cards during the first half can all reshape expectations. Weather, crowd factors, and real-time match flow also influence trader sentiment, causing the market to adjust continuously until the final whistle.