TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether CR Brasil or America FC secures a victory with a goal differential exceeding certain values. The resolution depends solely on the winning team's margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
Markets resolve based on whether CR Brasil or America FC wins by more than specified goal margins (2.5 or 1.5 goals) in the professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game between CR Brasil and America FC on Sep 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated team achieves the required win margin. Kalshi stresses no official association with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert forecasts. It’s common to see prediction markets react faster to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, as the continuous trading process incorporates new data more quickly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on the collective information available. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a specific result in the CR Brasil vs America FC match, and changes based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the CR Brasil vs America FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winner based on the spread. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also cause the market to move. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would likely lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.