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$134.2b

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$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC?

Volume:
$655,735

Aston Villa FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 6:58 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Aston Villa

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$187,288
N/A
N/A
$139,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Coventry

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,938
N/A
N/A
$38,547
Settled
No
polymarket

Coventry City FC

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,912
N/A
N/A
$13,922
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Aston Villa FC will win their EFL Cup soccer match against Coventry City FC on September 16, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Aston Villa winning is 99.4%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is the official EFL website. Coventry winning has a 1.0% probability. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 16, 2026, as the final result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this case, while Kalshi's resolution is uncertain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Focuses on win/tie outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Coventry City FC and Aston Villa FC.

Kalshi

The markets collectively determine the winner of the Coventry vs Aston Villa EFL Cup soccer match scheduled for September 16, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Coventry scores more goals than Aston Villa by the end of regulation, the 'Coventry' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Aston Villa finishes with a higher goal tally, the 'Aston Villa' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams have an equal number of goals at the end of regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. These rules ensure that only the standard regulation-time result determines market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Coventry City vs. Aston Villa match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $655,735, with $631,781 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the potential results, reflecting the collective predictions of market participants. The current market indicates a degree of uncertainty, as traders weigh factors like team form, player availability, and historical performance to forecast the match’s result. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional odds.

Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ comes into play. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous price discovery as new information emerges, potentially reacting faster than sportsbooks to breaking news or changing circumstances. This dynamic can offer a valuable alternative for informed forecasting.