TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Z7 Esports vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$26,479
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike BO1 match between Z7 Esports and Phantom in the Parken Challenger Championship Group A, scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets include match winner, Map 1 round parity, and Map 1 kill parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match outcome market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Phantom wins OR Z7 Esports wins) resolve to Yes, making the market always resolve Yes and eliminating any meaningful directional signal. Polymarket provides three distinct, well-defined markets with proper edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not use Kalshi's match market for directional betting—it will always resolve Yes. Use Polymarket's match winner market instead, which properly distinguishes between Z7 Esports, Phantom, and 50-50 outcomes. Kalshi's market may only be useful as a confirmation that the match occurred, but offers no predictive value.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with clear resolution logic: (1) Match winner resolves to Z7 Esports or Phantom based on match result; forfeit/walkover before start = 50-50. (2) Map 1 rounds resolve to Odd/Even based on total combined rounds. (3) Map 1 kills resolve to Odd/Even based on total combined kills. All source HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market with logical contradiction: states 'If Phantom wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Z7 Esports wins...then resolves to Yes', meaning both outcomes map to Yes. This eliminates any directional differentiation and guarantees Yes resolution regardless of match result. Key Quote: 'If Phantom wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026: Phantom vs. Z7 Esports CS2 match...then the market resolves to Yes. If Z7 Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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