TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Yawara Esports vs Sharks?

Volume:
$346,088

Sharks

 - Kalshi

Sharks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sharks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110,325
N/A
N/A
$66,279
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yawara Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124,307
N/A
N/A
$83,175
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs Yawara Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-9.5) vs Yawara Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs Yawara Esports (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-9.5) vs Yawara Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs Yawara Esports (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs Yawara Esports (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-9.5) vs Yawara Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs Yawara Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between Yawara Esports and Sharks in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs Quarterfinal, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets span individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), overall match winner, total maps played, and map handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory (both teams resolve to Yes), making the markets logically unresolvable. Polymarket provides the only coherent framework with clear winner determination and edge-case handling.Hero tip: Disregard Kalshi market text as non-functional. Use only Polymarket markets for trading. Confirm all outcomes through HLTV.org official results within 2 hours of match conclusion. If HLTV is unavailable, accept credible video evidence and consensus reporting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both markets collapse to identical Yes resolution regardless of winner. Quote: 'If Sharks wins... then Yes' AND 'If Yawara Esports wins... then Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary prediction market.
  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets with clear winner-based outcomes: Map 1 Winner (Yawara Esports or Sharks), Map 2 Winner (Yawara Esports or Sharks), Match Winner (Yawara Esports or Sharks), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer), and Map Handicap (Sharks -1.5 or Yawara Esports +1.5). Each includes detailed edge cases: incomplete maps resolve 50-50, cancellations resolve 50-50, 7-day delay without play resolves 50-50, forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50 (except clinching map forfeits count as completed).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Yawara Esports and Sharks in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against Sharks. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against Yawara Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the RES Showdown South America 2026: Sharks vs. Yawara Esports CS2 match scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match. If the match does not occur as scheduled, is postponed, cancelled, or results in a draw or no-contest outcome, resolution will be determined by official tournament records and announcements from the event organizers.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for volume and liability. Prediction markets like those tracked here rely on continuous trader participation, where prices emerge from buy-sell equilibrium. This market's odds reflect live consensus among participants rather than a bookmaker's fixed margin, often resulting in tighter spreads and faster reaction to new information. Both sources can diverge significantly, especially in niche esports matchups where sportsbook liquidity is limited.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform uses distinct contract designs and trader bases. Kalshi's top outcome focuses on a binary match winner, while Polymarket's leading contract applies a map handicap, fundamentally altering the probability calculation. Differences in platform fees, user demographics, and order-book depth also drive price variation. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one venue prices the same underlying event differently, though transaction costs and settlement risk typically prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals how market structure shapes trader behavior.

Key catalysts include roster changes, recent map performance data, and head-to-head records between these teams. Injury or stand-in announcements, scrim results, and public statements from players or coaches can shift trader positioning. Meta shifts in Counter-Strike strategy or map pool updates may also influence expectations. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news—such as technical issues or venue changes—could trigger volatility. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for developments that could alter the competitive balance.