TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Yawara Esports and METANOIA WOLVES in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B, initially scheduled for July 8 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against Yawara Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Yawara Esports and METANOIA WOLVES in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B, initially scheduled for July 8 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against METANOIA WOLVES. This market will resolve to "METANOIA WOLVES" if METANOIA WOLVES win the match against Yawara Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and liquidity depth. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where sharp traders see value, though neither source is inherently more accurate than the other.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the aggregate willingness of participants to back that result with real funds. As new information surfaces—team roster changes, recent form, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news, so markets with deeper order books typically adjust faster than thinner ones.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-three series under the official Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 rules. Resolution hinges on the final match score and any official rulings or replays that may affect the declared winner. Traders should monitor official tournament channels and credible esports news sources for confirmation before the resolution window closes.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match begins. Roster announcements, player substitutions, or last-minute lineup changes for either team would likely trigger repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in regional qualifiers all influence trader sentiment. Technical issues, server delays, or format changes announced by the tournament organizer could also matter. Additionally, community analysis, coach interviews, and betting syndicates' positioning may drive volume spikes and price swings as the event date approaches.