TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters?

Volume:
$37,000

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yawara Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,930
N/A
N/A
$5,405
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Game Hunters (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-12.5) vs Game Hunters (+12.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Game Hunters (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Game Hunters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,668
N/A
N/A
$6,987
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-9.5) vs Game Hunters (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-3.5) vs Game Hunters (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Yawara Esports and Game Hunters in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, map winners, round totals, and round handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides comprehensive, consistent edge-case handling across all markets with clear source hierarchy and timing windows.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market (Question 1-2). Use Polymarket's match winner (Question 14-15) and map-specific markets as primary settlement sources. Always cross-reference HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion. If Kalshi market remains as written, it cannot be settled and should be voided.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If Yawara Esports wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Game Hunters wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution. No handling specified for cancellations, ties, or incomplete matches. Market is unresolvable as written.
  • Polymarket: Match winner (Question 14-15) and all derivative markets include explicit edge-case handling: cancellations resolve 50-50, ties resolve 50-50, delays beyond 7 days without winner resolve 50-50, incomplete matches with forfeiture/disqualification/walkover resolve 50-50 (except if match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeiture, then that team wins). Primary source is HLTV.org; secondary source is credible reporting with video evidence if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Yawara Esports and Game Hunters in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B, initially scheduled for June 25 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against Game Hunters. This market will resolve to "Game Hunters" if Game Hunters win the match against Yawara Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the outcome of the CS2 match between Game Hunters and Yawara Esports in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 2026, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if Game Hunters wins the match, and also resolves to Yes if Yawara Esports wins the match. Resolution is determined by the official match result as recorded by the tournament organizer.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market often reflects sharper, less biased estimates because traders risk real capital on accuracy rather than volume. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated risk teams, and their odds include built-in margins that prediction prices typically exclude.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps even on identical questions. Polymarket may attract professional traders focused on arbitrage, while Kalshi draws a broader retail audience with different risk appetites. Regulatory constraints, settlement speed, and withdrawal policies also influence how quickly each platform reprices in response to new information, allowing profitable spreads to persist briefly before traders exploit them.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, recent tournament results, and head-to-head performance trends between the two teams. Practice scrim outcomes, player substitutions, or injury reports can shift trader conviction significantly. Broader esports news—such as meta shifts in Counter-Strike or changes to tournament format—may also influence how traders assess each team's edge. Live match commentary and early map results will drive the sharpest repricing as the event unfolds.