TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: WAZABI vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$14,862
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-One match between WAZABI and AM Gaming scheduled for March 31, 2026, at 10:30 AM ET as part of the Parken Challenger Championship Group A. Markets track the match winner and statistical outcomes (kills and rounds on Map 1).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match-winner market is logically incoherent, tying resolution to championship victory rather than the specific Group A match outcome. Polymarket correctly specifies match-level resolution with clear tie and cancellation rules. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market should not be traded as written—it conflates two distinct events (group match vs. championship). Use Polymarket for match winner, Map 1 kills (odd/even), and Map 1 rounds (odd/even) markets. All three Polymarket markets reference HLTV.org with a 2-hour fallback to credible consensus, providing consistent and resolvable logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if either WAZABI or AM Gaming wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026, not the specific March 31 Group A match. This is a scope error: a team can win the championship without winning this particular match, or lose the championship despite winning this match. The market is logically incoherent and unresolvable as stated.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to WAZABI or AM Gaming based on the specific Group A match outcome. Cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days without a winner resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before start also resolve to 50-50. Forfeits during play (one team wins) resolve to the winning team. Primary source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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