TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
Volume:
$24,265
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Voca and SAW in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets span match winner, map-specific round totals (odd/even), and map-specific kill totals (odd/even), with an additional Kalshi market on tournament outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market conflates a single group-stage match outcome with tournament victory, creating a logical impossibility. A team can win this BO1 match and still lose the tournament. Polymarket markets are scoped correctly to the match and Map 1 only.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets (match winner, map rounds, map kills) are resolvable and internally consistent. Kalshi's market is fundamentally flawed: it asks whether a team wins the tournament but only provides a single match result as the resolution trigger. This is a scope error, not a timing issue. Avoid trading Kalshi until clarification is provided by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner (Voca vs SAW BO1), (2) Map 1 odd/even total rounds, (3) Map 1 odd/even total kills. All resolve based on the single match result and Map 1 statistics from HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope is precise and limited to the March 12 BO1 match.
- Kalshi: Single market: 'If Voca wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: SAW vs. Voca CS2 match... then resolves to Yes.' This market title and logic conflate tournament victory with a single match win. A team winning this group-stage BO1 does not guarantee tournament victory. Scope is ambiguous and logically contradictory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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