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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
limitless
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Volume:
$3,866,433

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 2:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,723,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

FUT Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$366,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,691
N/A
N/A
$5,913
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$11,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Vitality

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
$51,354
$48,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Vitality (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$482,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Vitality (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-9.5) vs FUT Esports (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs Vitality (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Vitality and FUT Esports at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. Consensus across Limitless, Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by HLTV.org official match records. Watch for the match scheduled on June 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET to settle all related betting positions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Forfeit and walkover resolution differs between platforms. Limitless treats all forfeits as resolved to the declared winner; Polymarket and Predict distinguish between pre-match forfeits (50-50) and in-match forfeits (declared winner). Kalshi's over 2.5 maps market lacks explicit forfeit language.Hero tip: Monitor for pre-match forfeit announcements. If a team forfeits before play begins, Limitless will resolve to the winner while Polymarket and Predict will resolve to 50-50, creating potential arbitrage. For in-match forfeits, all platforms resolve to the declared winner. Kalshi's maps market should follow standard completion logic but verify edge case handling with the platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Resolves all forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers to the team declared the winner, regardless of timing or match state. Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made.'
  • Polymarket & Predict (Match Winner): Distinguishes pre-match vs. in-match forfeits. Pre-match forfeit (team withdraws before start) resolves to 50-50. In-match forfeit resolves to declared winner. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.' But 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.'
  • Kalshi (Over 2.5 Maps): No explicit forfeit or walkover clause provided. Assumes standard match completion rules. Resolution logic focuses on maps played but does not address how forfeits affect map count eligibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the IEM Cologne Major 2026: FUT Esports vs. Vitality CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the IEM Cologne Major 2026, scheduled for Jun 11, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced pricing than traditional sportsbooks because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. Sportsbooks build in margins and may lag behind real-time information. For this Vitality vs FUT Esports match, prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on live trading and can diverge significantly from fixed sportsbook lines, especially as match time approaches. Comparing both sources reveals which side the professional prediction market community favors versus bookmaker positioning.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different user bases, liquidity pools, and market structures create natural price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may track slightly different outcome definitions—for example, Kalshi focuses on individual map winners while Polymarket emphasizes series outcomes. Arbitrage opportunities, withdrawal fees, and platform-specific trading incentives also drive wedges. Timing lags in order-book updates and regional user concentration can cause one platform to lead price discovery. These gaps typically narrow as match time approaches and informed traders exploit mispricings.