TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Volume:
$1,800,775
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-three match between Vitality and Aurora Gaming at PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. Markets span individual map winners, match outcome, map handicap, and total maps played, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines detailed edge cases (forfeits, incomplete matches, delays) with 50-50 fallbacks, while Kalshi provides minimal guidance. Additionally, Polymarket's Map Handicap and Total Maps markets contain a logical ambiguity regarding whether a forfeit victory constitutes a 'completed match' for counting purposes.Hero Tip:
Before trading Polymarket's Map Handicap or Total Maps markets, confirm with the platform whether a 1-0 forfeit victory counts as match completion and whether maps won by forfeit are included in the count. For Kalshi, assume any decisive outcome (including forfeit) resolves Yes; if the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play, request clarification on the 50-50 fallback.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with explicit edge-case handling. Map 1 and Map 2 resolve 50-50 if not completed; Match Winner resolves 50-50 if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/disqualification. Map Handicap and Total Maps count forfeit/disqualification maps only if match is 'completed,' but resolve 50-50 if match begins but is incomplete due to forfeiture—creating logical ambiguity. All resolve via HLTV.org within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Key Quote: 'Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.'
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if either Vitality or Aurora Gaming wins the match originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. No explicit handling of cancellations, delays, forfeits, or disqualifications. Implicitly assumes a winner will be determined. Key Quote: 'If Vitality wins the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. Vitality CS2 match originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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