TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Volume:
$1,128,748

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 9:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$409,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vitality

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,543
N/A
N/A
$33,642
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$194,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

9z

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,844
N/A
N/A
$40,102
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Vitality and 9z in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, scheduled for March 19 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 champion), while Polymarket resolves based on the specific Group B match outcome between Vitality and 9z. These are two entirely different events with no logical connection.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming they settle the same way. A Vitality win in the Group B match does NOT guarantee Vitality wins the tournament, and vice versa. Kalshi's YES requires a tournament victory; Polymarket's YES requires only a match victory. Arbitrage risk is extreme.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if either 9z OR Vitality wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 tournament (the entire event), not the specific Group B match. The resolution rule states 'If 9z wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vitality wins the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible tournament outcomes, making it logically unresolvable as a binary market.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with the stated event scope: Polymarket resolves based on the specific Counter-Strike match between Vitality and 9z in Group B on March 19 at 2:30PM ET. The market resolves to 'Vitality' if Vitality wins the match, '9z' if 9z wins the match, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or forfeits. Source is https://hltv.org. This is a standard match-outcome market with clear binary logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.