TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports?

Volume:
$587,184

Inner Circle Esports

 - Kalshi

Inner Circle Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Inner Circle Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$152,536
N/A
N/A
$91,022
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virtus.pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,139
N/A
N/A
$74,017
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-3 match between Virtus.pro and Inner Circle Esports in the RES Showdown Europe Playoffs, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals, and handicap betting across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible match outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and non-functional. Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is fundamentally broken. Use only Polymarket markets for this event. All Polymarket markets require match completion on HLTV.org or credible video consensus within 2 hours post-event. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers have specific handling per market type.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Tautological resolution logic. Market states: 'If Inner Circle Esports wins... then Yes' AND 'If Virtus.pro wins... then Yes'. Both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market always resolve Yes. This is a critical data integrity failure and the market is unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Five distinct, logically coherent markets: (1) Match Winner (binary: Virtus.pro or Inner Circle Esports), (2) Map 1 Winner, (3) Map 2 Winner, (4) Games Total O/U 2.5 (3+ maps = Over), (5) Map Handicap (-1.5 for ICE, +1.5 for VP). All resolve to 50-50 on cancellation, tie, or 7-day delay without play. Forfeits/walkovers have explicit handling per market. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours; fallback to credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Virtus.pro and Inner Circle Esports in the RES Showdown Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 11 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Inner Circle Esports. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match against Virtus.pro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the RES Showdown Europe 2026: Inner Circle Esports vs. Virtus.pro CS2 match scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. The winning team is determined by standard CS2 match rules and tournament regulations.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports match across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time consensus on the outcome. Traders on both venues are pricing their views of who will win this best-of-three Counter-Strike showdown. The cross-platform view reveals how different market participants weigh the same event, with each platform's order flow and participant base shaping its own price discovery. You can track volume and odds movement as the event approaches, giving you insight into shifting sentiment and confidence levels among professional prediction market traders.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often building in margins that favor the house. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on traders putting real capital at stake, which tends to surface genuine probability estimates. This market's odds reflect what traders believe will happen, not what a bookmaker needs to profit. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward actual outcomes more accurately than traditional sportsbook lines, especially in niche esports matchups where sportsbook liquidity may be limited.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent map performance, head-to-head records, and practice scrim results often influence prediction market prices as new information emerges. Venue conditions, hardware setup, or scheduling delays may also trigger repricing. Major esports news—such as coaching changes or sponsor-related roster moves—can cause sharp price swings. As the match date approaches, accumulating evidence about team form and preparation typically narrows the odds range, while unexpected developments can widen it again.