TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Counter-Strike: VENOM ESPOR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win VENOM ESPOR vs Fire Flux Esports?

Volume:
$12,727

Fire Flux Esports

 - Kalshi

Fire Flux Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 1:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fire Flux Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,414
N/A
N/A
$8,366
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

VENOM ESPOR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
$1,366
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VENOM (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-3.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-6.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-3.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-12.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-6.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fire Flux Esports (-9.5) vs VENOM ESPOR (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-3 lower bracket semifinal match between VENOM ESPOR and Fire Flux Esports in the TESFED League Playoffs, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, map count, map handicap, individual map winners, and map-specific round totals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market scope (TESFED League 2026 championship outcome) is fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket and subsidiary markets (July 3 lower bracket semifinal match outcome). These are distinct events with different resolution timelines and conditions.Hero tip: Kalshi resolves on league championship; Polymarket resolves on the specific July 3 match. A team winning the match does not guarantee winning the league. Treat these as separate markets with independent resolution paths. For match-day trading, prioritize Polymarket and HLTV.org verification.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Fire Flux Esports OR VENOM ESPOR wins the TESFED League 2026 championship. The July 3 match is mentioned as a reference point but is not the direct resolution trigger. Quote: 'If Fire Flux Esports wins the TESFED League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If VENOM ESPOR wins the TESFED League 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This conflates match outcome with league championship.
  • Polymarket: Market resolves directly to match winner (VENOM ESPOR or Fire Flux Esports) based on the July 3 lower bracket semifinal game. Quote: 'This market will resolve to VENOM ESPOR if VENOM ESPOR win the match against Fire Flux Esports.' Resolution source is HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Scope is strictly the single match, not the league championship.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between VENOM ESPOR and Fire Flux Esports in the TESFED League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "VENOM ESPOR" if VENOM ESPOR win the match against Fire Flux Esports. This market will resolve to "Fire Flux Esports" if Fire Flux Esports win the match against VENOM ESPOR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Fire Flux Esports vs. VENOM ESPOR CS2 match scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT in the TESFED League 2026. If Fire Flux Esports wins the match, their corresponding outcome resolves to Yes. If VENOM ESPOR wins the match, their corresponding outcome resolves to Yes. The resolution is determined solely by the official match result as recorded by the league.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders themselves set odds through supply and demand rather than oddsmakers setting lines. This often results in tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche esports events. Prediction market participants are incentivized to be accurate because they profit directly from correct predictions, which can lead to sharper odds. However, sportsbooks may offer more liquidity and faster payouts, while prediction markets provide transparency into real-time belief distributions across thousands of independent traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and regulatory frameworks. Kalshi focuses on binary outcomes like match winners, while Polymarket emphasizes derivatives like game totals, so their core markets may not be directly comparable. Differences in user base expertise, fee structures, and market depth can cause temporary price gaps. Additionally, one platform may receive fresh information or see a surge in trading activity before the other, creating arbitrage opportunities that eventually narrow as traders exploit the spread.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team, recent tournament performance and map pool adjustments, and any injury or availability updates affecting star players. Live match momentum during the series itself will drive significant price swings, particularly after each game result. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and betting syndicates can shift trader sentiment. Additionally, technical issues, server problems, or unexpected rule clarifications from TESFED could introduce volatility. Monitor team social media, esports news outlets, and platform chat for breaking developments that might alter win probability estimates.