TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$202,688,956
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,829,820
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,734,437,429
480,371
Markets across
36,315
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,915
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Team Falcons will win the best-of-three Counter-Strike match against TYLOO in the ESL Pro League Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Team Falcons winning Map 2 Rounds Handicap (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5), with resolution based on results reported at https://hltv.org. Keep an eye on the initial match scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, as the outcome of this first game will heavily influence the overall series result.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Team Falcons and TYLOO in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that prediction market participants possess information or insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and the overall flow of trading activity related to the Team Falcons vs TYLOO match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Team Falcons vs TYLOO match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers, ESL Pro League. The winning team, as determined by the best-of-three series, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to view the final result and the corresponding payout on Polymarket once the event concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Team Falcons or TYLOO could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. In-game performance during the series itself, such as map picks and early round results, will also be major catalysts. Unexpected announcements about tournament conditions or even social media sentiment surrounding the teams could also contribute to shifts in the market. These signals will all be weighed by traders as they refine their predictions.