TOTAL VOLUME:
$119.4b
24H VOL:
$74,704,511
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,423,588,327
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,167,229,886
327,205
Markets across
32,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,260
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
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Spirit
- Kalshi
Spirit - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 7, 2026
Latest in Sports
Time left: 05d:12h:53m
Will Spirit win BLAST Open Porto?
$
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)
Intro
This market tracks the likelihood of Spirit winning the BLAST Open Porto. The aggregated consensus probability stands at 36.0%, with Team Falcons as the second outcome at 24.0%, drawing data from Limitless, Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi, and resolves using official results from https://hltv.org. Keep an eye on the event group covering the match between Team Falcons and Lynn Vision, scheduled to conclude by September 7, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use hltv.org as the primary resolution source with consistent fallback rules and 50-50 resolution for cancellations or incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: https://hltv.orgCore resolution logic:
- Match winner markets resolve to the team that wins the match unless canceled, tied, or postponed beyond deadline
- Map winner markets resolve based on the specific map's result if completed; otherwise 50-50
- Total games markets resolve to Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer than 3, with 50-50 for cancellations or incomplete matches
- Postponed matches must be rescheduled by September 10, 2026, or resolve to 50-50
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is not played at all
- Incomplete Match: Map-specific markets resolve based on completed maps; overall match markets resolve to 50-50 unless one team wins by forfeit/disqualification
- Postponement Deadline: If rescheduled start time is after September 10, 2026, all markets resolve to 50-50
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Team Falcons and Lynn Vision in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes for the market associated with whichever team is crowned the champion of the 2026 BLAST Open Porto tournament. Each market corresponds to a specific competing team, and the market linked to the actual tournament winner will resolve positively. All secondary rules uniformly state that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league organizing the event, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The structure ensures that only one market will resolve to Yes, corresponding to the actual champion, while all others will resolve to No.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Team Falcons and Lynn Vision in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 27, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and Lynn Vision in the BLAST Open Porto Fall 2026, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Lynn Vision. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform hosts its own user base, trading volume, and risk parameters. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might attract more professional traders who price in nuanced strategies, while the other could see heavier retail participation that swings prices more dramatically on news or sentiment shifts. Additionally, differences in available liquidity and fee structures can amplify these discrepancies, especially in fast-moving events like this market. Understanding these platform-specific dynamics helps traders anticipate potential shifts.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records from the BLAST Open Porto tournament organizers, ensuring an impartial and transparent process. Traders can expect the market to close promptly after the final match results are announced and widely reported, at which point all positions are settled according to the verified outcome.
Key signals that could shift this market include team announcements such as roster changes, player injuries, or strategic updates revealed in the days leading up to the match. Live in-game performance during early maps can also cause rapid adjustments, as can commentary from analysts or official tournament updates. Any unexpected developments — for example, last-minute substitutions or tournament rule changes — may dramatically alter trader sentiment and move prices before the market finally resolves.