TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Limitless
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 11, 2026
Closed: Jun 11, 5:05 PM EST
Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs Team Falcons (+6.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-9.5) vs G2 (+9.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-12.5) vs G2 (+12.5)
Intro
This market tracks the total number of rounds played in Map 3 of the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Team Falcons and G2 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution is determined by HLTV.org official results, with credible consensus reporting accepted if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on June 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET to see whether Map 3 extends beyond or stays under 30.5 total rounds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict) apply consistent logic: match must reach official completion with a declared winner; cancellations and 7+ day delays resolve 50-50; map-specific markets require map completion; forfeits/walkovers before play begins resolve 50-50, but mid-match forfeits resolve to the winning team.Primary resolution logic: HLTV.org official results; credible consensus reporting (including video evidence) acceptable if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match winner (Team Falcons vs G2): resolves to the team winning 2 maps in the BO3; forfeits/walkovers before play begins resolve 50-50, but mid-match forfeits resolve to the winning team
- Map winners (Map 1, Map 2, Map 3): resolve to the team winning that specific map; map must be played to completion; incomplete or forfeited maps resolve 50-50
- Map round totals (Over/Under 21.5): resolve based on combined rounds played on that map including overtime; map must be completed; incomplete or forfeited maps resolve 50-50
- Map handicaps (e.g., Team Falcons -3.5): resolve based on round differential on that map; Team Falcons wins if margin exceeds 4 rounds, otherwise G2 wins; incomplete maps resolve 50-50
- Series length (Over/Under 2.5 maps): resolves Over if 3+ maps played, Under if fewer; forfeits/walkovers of clinching map count as match completion
- Series handicap (Team Falcons -1.5): Team Falcons wins if they win 2+ more maps than G2; forfeits/walkovers of clinching map count as match completion
- Cancellation/delay rule: if match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days from June 11 without completion, all markets resolve 50-50
- Team name flexibility: minor discrepancies, abbreviations, sponsor tags, and formatting differences in team names resolve to the underlying real-world team if unambiguous
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Forfeit/Walkover Before Play: If either team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks over before the match begins, match winner and series-level markets resolve 50-50. Map-specific markets also resolve 50-50.
- Forfeit/Walkover After Play Begins: If a team forfeits or is disqualified after play has begun, the opposing team is declared the winner. Completed maps count toward the result; incomplete maps do not.
- Clinching Map Forfeit: If the map that clinches the series (e.g., Map 2 in a 2-0 scenario) is forfeited, the match is considered completed and resolves to the team winning the series. Series length and handicap markets count this forfeit.
- Incomplete Map: If a map is not played at all, not played to completion, or decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played, map-specific markets (winners, round totals, handicaps) resolve 50-50.
- Exact Round Total (21.5): If a map total is exactly 21.5 rounds, the Over/Under market resolves 50-50.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Team Falcons and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If over 2.5 maps are played in the IEM Cologne Major 2026: G2 vs. Team Falcons CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Team Falcons and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Team Falcons and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major 2026, scheduled for Jun 11, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced pricing than traditional sportsbooks because traders risk real capital on outcomes. For this Team Falcons vs G2 match, prediction market odds tend to update faster in response to roster changes, recent form, or map veto announcements. Sportsbooks may lag behind or apply wider margins. Comparing the two reveals whether public sentiment on this IEM Cologne Stage 3 matchup is pricing in factors that bookmakers have not yet adjusted.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, causing temporary price gaps on the same Team Falcons vs G2 outcome. Polymarket may attract more esports specialists while Kalshi draws broader crypto traders, leading to different risk assessments of map outcomes or match winner. Liquidity depth also varies; lower volume on one platform can amplify price swings. These differences typically narrow as the match approaches, but arbitrage opportunities may exist between the two venues during the lead-up to IEM Cologne Stage 3.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions for either team, recent tournament results and form trends, map veto strategy and bans, injury or availability announcements, and head-to-head historical performance. Odds will shift if either team releases new tactical footage or if analysts publish updated power rankings. Pre-match interviews and team statements about preparation can also influence trader sentiment. Live updates during the match itself—early map results, economy management, and momentum swings—will drive significant repricing of remaining outcomes in real time.