TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Aether and Chicken Coop Esports in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Aether" if Team Aether win the match against Chicken Coop Esports. This market will resolve to "Chicken Coop Esports" if Chicken Coop Esports win the match against Team Aether. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's two markets both resolve to YES regardless of match outcome (logical contradiction), while Polymarket's markets resolve based on actual match results. Kalshi's markets are fundamentally unresolvable due to conflicting resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — both Kalshi markets contain logical errors that make them unresolvable. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be your primary reference. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to the platform for clarification before the event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both Kalshi markets resolve to YES if either team wins the match, creating a logical contradiction. Market 1 states 'If Chicken Coop Esports wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Aether wins...then resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates basic binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard resolution logic: Polymarket's 10 markets resolve based on actual match outcomes (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map 3 Winner, series winner, map handicaps, odd/even kills, odd/even rounds, games total). Each market has a clear binary or categorical outcome tied to verifiable HLTV.org data. For example, 'Map 1 Winner' resolves to Team Aether if Team Aether wins Map 1, or Chicken Coop Esports if they win, with 50-50 resolution only if Map 1 is not completed.
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