TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between SportsBetExpert and LAG Gaming in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SportsBetExpert" if SportsBetExpert win the match against LAG Gaming. This market will resolve to "LAG Gaming" if LAG Gaming win the match against SportsBetExpert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the entire ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026 tournament (whether either team wins the cup), while Polymarket resolves on specific match outcomes and map-level statistics. These are fundamentally different scopes: Kalshi's markets depend on tournament-wide results, whereas Polymarket's markets depend on the head-to-head BO3 match result and individual map performance.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on whether SportsBetExpert or LAG Gaming wins the entire ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026 tournament. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on the specific outcome of the SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming BO3 match and map-level statistics (kills, rounds, map winners). A team can win the head-to-head match on Polymarket but still fail to win the tournament on Kalshi, or vice versa. Ensure your bet aligns with the scope you intend.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the entire ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026 tournament. The resolution statement is 'If LAG Gaming wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If SportsBetExpert wins the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a tournament-level outcome, not a match-specific outcome.
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on the specific BO3 match result between SportsBetExpert and LAG Gaming (match winner, individual map winners, map-level kills and rounds). The core market states 'This market will resolve to SportsBetExpert if SportsBetExpert win the match against LAG Gaming' and includes granular map-level markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map 1/2/3 Odd/Even Kills, Map 1/2/3 Odd/Even Rounds, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicaps). These are all contingent on the head-to-head match outcome, not the tournament outcome.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.