TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Volume:
$1,092,924
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Best-of-3 match between Team Spirit and Liquid in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B, scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. The markets span series outcomes, individual map winners, map totals, handicaps, and granular in-game statistics (rounds and kills per map). Resolution depends on official HLTV.org reporting, with fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours of event conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi offers a single binary market on whether over 2.5 maps are played, while Polymarket offers multiple granular markets (match winner, individual map winners, map statistics, handicaps). The platforms resolve on the same primary source (HLTV.org) but measure different underlying events.

Hero Tip:

If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting solely on match length (3+ maps = Yes). If you trade on Polymarket, you have exposure to match outcome, individual map results, and statistical properties (odd/even rounds/kills). These are not directly comparable bets. Kalshi's market resolves independently of who wins; Polymarket's match-winner market does. Ensure your position aligns with which platform's scope you intend.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market on match length only. The market resolves YES if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps), and NO otherwise. This market is agnostic to which team wins or any map-level statistics. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026: Liquid vs. Spirit CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets covering match outcome (Spirit vs Liquid winner), individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), match length (O/U 2.5 maps), map handicap (Spirit -1.5 vs Liquid +1.5), and statistical properties (odd/even total rounds and kills for Maps 1, 2, and 3). Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to specific match events or statistics. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Spirit.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.