TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win SPARTA vs ENCE?

Volume:
$304,736

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 12:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SPARTA

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,849
N/A
N/A
$36,115
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ENCE (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ENCE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,067
N/A
N/A
$37,504
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs ENCE (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs ENCE (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs ENCE (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs ENCE (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs ENCE (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three match between SPARTA and ENCE in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, map totals, and round-count props across two prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi collapses both match outcomes to identical resolution (Yes), while Polymarket maintains distinct winner outcomes. Kalshi also lacks explicit forfeit/walkover guidance, whereas Polymarket treats pre-match walkovers as 50-50 and mid-match forfeits as match-completion scenarios.Hero tip: Rely on Polymarket's match-winner market as the canonical resolution. Kalshi's binary structure is logically incoherent for a competitive match. Cross-reference HLTV.org for final scores and forfeit timing. If a team withdraws before the match starts, both platforms should resolve 50-50; if forfeiture occurs mid-match, Polymarket resolves to the winning team, Kalshi's outcome remains undefined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market resolves to Yes for both ENCE victory and SPARTA victory. No distinction between outcomes. Lacks explicit rules for forfeits, disqualifications, or walkovers. Quote: 'If ENCE wins the European Pro League Series 8 2026: ENCE vs. SPARTA CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If SPARTA wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Match-winner market resolves to SPARTA or ENCE based on actual winner. Pre-match forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50; mid-match forfeits/disqualifications resolve to the winning team. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against ENCE. This market will resolve to "ENCE" if ENCE win the match against SPARTA. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SPARTA and ENCE in the European Pro League Series 8 Group C, initially scheduled for July 8 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against ENCE. This market will resolve to "ENCE" if ENCE win the match against SPARTA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the CS2 match between ENCE and SPARTA scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT during the European Pro League Series 8 2026 tournament. The match will have a single winner determined by standard competitive Counter-Strike 2 rules and scoring. Each outcome market corresponds to one team's victory in this match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of individual traders believe will happen, often incorporating specialized esports knowledge faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook odds can reveal value opportunities, though liquidity and market depth vary between platforms.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with different contract designs, user bases, and trading mechanics. Kalshi's binary structure asks whether SPARTA wins the full series, while Polymarket segments the event into individual map outcomes. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and the timing of when traders enter each platform also create temporary price gaps. These differences typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between platforms, but during low-liquidity windows or ahead of major news, spreads can widen significantly.

Team roster changes, recent map performance data, and head-to-head records are primary drivers of price movement. Injury announcements, player substitutions, or lineup adjustments closer to match day typically trigger sharp repricing. Betting syndicates and professional traders often react to updated odds from multiple sportsbooks, creating cascading moves across prediction platforms. Streaming commentary, coach interviews, and practice scrim results in the days leading up to the series can also shift trader sentiment, especially if they reveal unexpected strategic shifts or mechanical struggles.