TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs

Volume:
$27,187
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Inner Circle Academy. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market contains a logical tautology that resolves to Yes regardless of match outcome (both teams winning trigger Yes). Polymarket provides comprehensive, resolvable criteria with explicit edge-case handling. Scope and logical coherence are fundamentally misaligned.

Hero Tip:

Polymarket markets are tradeable and clear. Kalshi market is unresolvable as written—it lacks discriminatory logic and source specification. Escalate to compliance before accepting Kalshi settlement instructions.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to named team (Sinners or Inner Circle Academy) if that team wins the BO3. Resolves 50-50 if match canceled, tied, delayed >7 days without completion, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to winning team. Source: HLTV.org, fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours. Includes 8 additional markets (Map 1/2 winners, O/U 2.5 maps, map handicap, odd/even kills and rounds per map).
  • Kalshi: Binary market states: 'If Inner Circle Academy wins... resolves Yes. If Sinners wins... resolves Yes.' No cancellation clause, no edge-case guidance, no source. Logically resolves to Yes in all match-completion scenarios, making it a tautology with no discriminatory power.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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