TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Volume:
$35,933

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 6:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ECSTATIC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,471
N/A
N/A
$4,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Sinners

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,694
N/A
N/A
$4,317
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs ECSTATIC (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Sinners and ECSTATIC in the Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), games total over/under, and map handicaps across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (ECSTATIC wins OR Sinners wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent granular markets with proper binary logic. The two platforms define fundamentally incompatible market scopes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match-winner market; it is logically broken. Trade only Polymarket's six markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap SIN -1.5, Map Handicap ECS -1.5, Match Winner). Always cross-check HLTV.org for official results within 2 hours post-match. If HLTV is silent, gather video evidence from credible sources. Flag any match delay beyond March 11, 2026 (7 days from March 4 scheduled date) as a 50-50 tie-break trigger.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If ECSTATIC wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Sinners wins... resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction. Both outcomes map to the same resolution, making the market unresolvable and non-functional.
  • Polymarket: Six distinct markets with clear binary outcomes and comprehensive edge-case rules. Match Winner resolves to Sinners or ECSTATIC (or 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed >7 days). Map-specific markets resolve based on completed map results or 50-50 if incomplete. Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves Over (3+ maps) or Under (<3 maps), with 50-50 for cancellations or incomplete matches. Handicap markets resolve based on map differential. All source HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.