TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three (BO3) elimination match between shimmer and insane players in the CCT North America Series #4 Group B, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map statistics (kills and rounds), and handicap betting across two platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match outcome market contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (insane players win OR shimmer win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and violates binary market semantics.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match outcome market until clarification is obtained from Kalshi. All Polymarket markets (match winner, map winners, map statistics, handicap) follow coherent HLTV-anchored resolution logic with proper 50-50 fallback conditions for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, and incomplete maps. Focus trading activity on Polymarket markets.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match outcome market states: If insane players wins the match, resolve Yes. If shimmer wins the match, resolve Yes. No resolution path to No is defined. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Match outcome market: Resolves to shimmer if shimmer wins, insane players if insane players wins, 50-50 if canceled/not played/delayed beyond 7 days/ends in tie/forfeiture/disqualification/walkover. Clear binary logic with defined fallbacks. Source: HLTV (primary within 2 hours), credible reporting thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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