TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Predict
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Latest in Sports
Closed: Jul 24, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs DENDELE CS (+6.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)
Intro
This market tracks whether the total rounds played in the third map of the Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Sharks and FURIA will exceed 27.5 rounds. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100%. Data is drawn from Limitless, Predict, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official HLTV.org results. Watch for the match conclusion on July 24, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms apply identical resolution logic: HLTV.org as primary source with 2-hour fallback window, 7-day delay threshold for 50-50 resolution, completed maps count regardless of match outcome, and forfeits/walkovers before match start resolve to 50-50.Primary resolution logic: Official HLTV.org results; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.Core resolution logic:
- Match Winner (Sharks vs FURIA BO3): Resolves to the team winning 2 maps first. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, ends in tie, or concludes via pre-match forfeit/walkover, resolves 50-50. If match begins and one team wins via in-match forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to the declared winner.
- Map Winners (Map 1, Map 2): Resolves to the team winning the specified map if completed. If map is not completed or decided by forfeit/walkover/default, resolves 50-50. Applies even if match is later abandoned.
- Games Total O/U 2.5: Resolves Over if 3+ maps are played (including forfeited clinching maps), Under if fewer than 3. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or abandoned mid-match via forfeit, resolves 50-50.
- Map Handicap FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5): Resolves FURIA if FURIA wins 2+ more maps than Sharks; otherwise Sharks. Forfeited maps count toward handicap if match is completed. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or abandoned mid-match via forfeit, resolves 50-50.
- Map Rounds Handicap (Maps 1, 2, 3): Resolves to FURIA if FURIA wins the specified map by 4+ rounds (including overtime); otherwise Sharks. Map must be played to completion with actual rounds. If map is not completed, forfeited, or decided by walkover/default, resolves 50-50.
- Map Total Rounds O/U 21.5 (Maps 1, 2, 3): Resolves Over if combined rounds on the specified map exceed 21.5, Under if less than 21.5, 50-50 if exactly 21.5 or map not completed. Map must be played to completion with actual rounds; forfeits/walkovers trigger 50-50.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match Cancellation or 7-Day Delay: If match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 24, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Pre-Match Forfeit/Walkover: If either team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks over before match start, match winner and map-specific markets resolve 50-50. Limitless platform resolves to the declared winner; this is a minor platform-specific interpretation but does not create material divergence in practice since pre-match forfeits are rare.
- In-Match Forfeit/Disqualification: If match begins and one team wins due to opponent forfeit, disqualification, or walkover mid-series, match winner resolves to the declared winner. Map-specific markets for completed maps resolve based on actual round scores; maps not yet played or forfeited resolve 50-50.
- Incomplete Maps: If a map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit/walkover/default rather than actual rounds played, map winner and map rounds markets resolve 50-50. Exception: if match is completed (clinching map forfeited), that counts as a completed match for Games Total and Map Handicap purposes.
- HLTV Publication Delay: If HLTV.org does not publish final results within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting (news, video evidence) may be used as fallback source. All platforms apply this same 2-hour window.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Sharks and FURIA in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Sharks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Predict
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Sharks and FURIA in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Sharks. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Sharks and FURIA in the BLAST Bounty Summer 2026, scheduled for Jul 24, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 24, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing: traders buy and sell shares tied to specific outcomes, and the market price reflects the collective belief of all participants. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set odds and take a margin, prediction markets allow prices to move freely based on supply and demand. This often results in tighter spreads and faster price discovery, especially as new information emerges. However, prediction markets typically have lower liquidity than major sportsbooks, which can create wider bid-ask spreads during low-volume periods. Both mechanisms aim to predict outcomes, but they use fundamentally different mechanisms to arrive at their odds.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries, recent team performance and head-to-head records, and map pool updates announced by tournament organizers. Betting patterns and large trades on either platform can also shift prices as informed traders position ahead of the match. Pre-match interviews, coaching adjustments, and hardware or connectivity issues affecting either team may trigger repricing. Additionally, live in-game events—such as early map results if this is a best-of-three series—can dramatically move markets tied to round totals or later map outcomes. Monitoring team social media and esports news outlets helps traders stay ahead of these moves.
