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Counter-Strike: SAW vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win SAW vs WBT?

Volume:
$72,189

Map 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

WBT

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,059
N/A
N/A
$7,653
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SAW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,757
N/A
N/A
$12,626
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: WBT (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs WBT (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-6.5) vs WBT (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-9.5) vs WBT (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-12.5) vs WBT (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WBT (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-three (BO3) match between SAW and WBT in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals, handicaps, and games-played totals across two prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across both platforms converge on HLTV.org as the primary source, apply identical cancellation/delay thresholds (7 days), and use consistent 50-50 resolution for incomplete, forfeited, or abandoned matches.Primary resolution logic: Official HLTV.org match records; credible reporting consensus (including video evidence) if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be completed (not canceled, not delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning) for any market to resolve to a team outcome.
  • Match winner (SAW or WBT) resolves based on best-of-three series outcome; if match begins but is incomplete and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, that team wins; if match ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins, resolve 50-50.
  • Individual map winners resolve based on that map being played to completion with a winner determined; if map is not played or not completed, resolve 50-50.
  • Map round totals (Over/Under 21.5) resolve based on combined rounds played on that map, including overtime; map must be played to completion; if not played or decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default, resolve 50-50.
  • Map handicaps (e.g., SAW -1.5, WBT -3.5) resolve based on round differential or map count differential as specified; maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default count toward the handicap if match is completed; if match is incomplete and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolve 50-50.
  • Games Total (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3 or more maps are played, Under if fewer than 3; maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default count toward total if match is completed; if match is incomplete and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolve 50-50.
  • Team name discrepancies (abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, regional identifiers, minor formatting) are treated as referring to the same team provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified; if no reasonable connection exists or ambiguity remains, resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match canceled or delayed beyond 7 days: All markets resolve 50-50 if match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 1, 2026) without play beginning or without a map being completed.
  • Match begins but incomplete with forfeit/disqualification/walkover: Match winner and map handicap markets resolve to the team that wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover if match is incomplete. Games Total and map-specific markets resolve 50-50 in this scenario.
  • Match ends due to clinching map forfeited: If the clinching map (e.g., Map 3 in a 1-1 series) is forfeited, the match is considered completed; map handicap and games total markets count the forfeit; map-specific round and winner markets for that forfeited map resolve 50-50.
  • Map not played or not completed: All map-specific markets (winner, round total, round handicap) for that map resolve 50-50 if the map is not played at all or is not played to completion.
  • Exact round total of 21.5: Round total markets (Over/Under 21.5) resolve 50-50 if combined rounds equal exactly 21.5.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion as reported by HLTV.org or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. If HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours, credible reporting (including video evidence) may be used. Markets resolve immediately upon completion; no further delay applies unless match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between SAW and WBT in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win the match against WBT. This market will resolve to "WBT" if WBT win the match against SAW. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the WBT vs. SAW CS2 match in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier 2026, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than traditional sportsbook models. Instead of a bookmaker setting fixed lines and taking a margin, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi buy and sell shares that reflect their belief in each outcome. This mechanism often produces sharper, more efficient odds because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. Sportsbooks, by contrast, balance liability and manage risk across many bettors. Comparing this market's odds to major esports betting sites can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish than professional oddsmakers.

On Polymarket, traders set odds through continuous order-book mechanics, while Kalshi uses an automated market maker model. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures mean each platform can develop its own microstructure. Polymarket may attract more esports specialists, while Kalshi draws a broader audience. Additionally, timing lags in information flow between platforms, varying leverage rules, and distinct settlement procedures can cause temporary or sustained price gaps. Savvy traders monitor both to identify mispricings and cross-platform opportunities.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team, recent head-to-head performance data, and map pool updates that may favor one squad. Injury or availability news, coaching changes, or statements from team management can shift trader sentiment. Scrim results or practice footage leaking online often influences sharp traders. Additionally, broader esports meta shifts—new weapon balances or map rotations in Counter-Strike—can alter competitive dynamics. Monitor team social media, esports news outlets, and league communications for developments that might prompt significant repricing before the match begins.