TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 10:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Rooster and DXA Esports in the Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs Upper Bracket Semifinal, scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, map winners, map-specific round handicaps, and total maps played across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Rooster and DXA Esports in the Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 15 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rooster" if Rooster win the match against DXA Esports. This market will resolve to "DXA Esports" if DXA Esports win the match against Rooster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Dfrag Open Series #5 2026 CS2 match between DXA Esports and Rooster originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. The resolution is determined by the official match result from the tournament.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct order books, user bases, and contract structures. Kalshi's straightforward win-loss format attracts different traders than Polymarket's map handicap design, which requires predicting relative performance across multiple maps. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and settlement timing also vary between venues. These structural differences mean prices can diverge meaningfully, even for the same underlying event. Arbitrage opportunities occasionally emerge, rewarding traders who monitor both platforms closely.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced before the series begins, recent tournament results or head-to-head records between the teams, and map pool updates or bans that shift strategic advantage. Live match performance—particularly early map outcomes in the best-of-three—will drive sharp repricing as new information emerges. Community sentiment, team form, and injury or availability updates can also trigger significant price swings. Monitor esports news outlets and official team channels for breaking developments.