TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Rebels Gaming and Nebula In Chaox scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A. Markets track the match winner, map 1 kill parity, and map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Nebula In Chaox wins OR Rebels Gaming wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket defines three separate, coherent markets with clear resolution paths.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi market until platform clarifies whether it intends to resolve Yes only if one specific team wins, or if the match occurs at all. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard esports resolution conventions. Prioritize Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner resolves to Rebels Gaming or Nebula In Chaox based on match outcome; (2) Map 1 kills resolve to Odd or Even based on total combined kills from HLTV.org; (3) Map 1 rounds resolve to Odd or Even based on total combined rounds. All markets include 50-50 fallback for cancellations, forfeits, delays beyond 7 days, or if map is not played. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours of conclusion, with credible reporting consensus as secondary source.Kalshi:
Single binary market states both 'If Nebula In Chaox wins... then Yes' AND 'If Rebels Gaming wins... then Yes,' creating logical impossibility. No specification of what constitutes a loss or no resolution outcome. No tie-breaking or cancellation rules provided. Scope conflates tournament victory with match outcome without clarity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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