TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$216,099,358

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,189,677,720

500,754

Markets across

13,672

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,801

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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kalshi
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Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs

Volume:
$257,600
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-three (BO3) match between Phantom and Ursa in the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs, scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, map-level kill/round parity, series length, and handicap outcomes, all sourced from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket markets apply identical resolution logic: HLTV.org as primary source, 2-hour fallback window, 7-day delay threshold, and 50-50 resolution for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, incomplete maps, and series clinches before map completion.

Primary resolution logic:

HLTV.org (official Counter-Strike esports database); secondary source is credible consensus reporting including video evidence if HLTV.org does not publish final results within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (Phantom vs Ursa BO3): resolves to the team winning 2 maps first; 50-50 if canceled, delayed >7 days without play, or ends in forfeit/walkover/tie.
  • Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2): resolves to the team winning that map if completed; 50-50 if map not completed, canceled, or delayed >7 days.
  • Map-level kill parity (Odd/Even Total Kills): resolves based on combined kills (excluding team kills and self-inflicted deaths) across all rounds including overtime; 50-50 if map canceled, delayed >7 days, not played due to forfeit/walkover, or series already clinched.
  • Map-level round parity (Odd/Even Total Rounds): resolves based on sum of rounds won by both teams including overtime; 50-50 if map canceled, delayed >7 days, not played due to forfeit/walkover, or series already clinched.
  • Games Total (O/U 2.5): resolves to Over if 3+ maps played (including forfeited/default maps in a completed series), Under if fewer than 3 maps; 50-50 if match canceled, delayed >7 days without play, or incomplete with no winner determined.
  • Map Handicap (Ursa -1.5 / Phantom +1.5): resolves to Ursa if Ursa wins 2+ more maps than Phantom; otherwise Phantom; 50-50 if match canceled, delayed >7 days, or incomplete with no winner.
  • Map Handicap (Phantom -1.5 / Ursa +1.5): resolves to Phantom if Phantom wins 2+ more maps than Ursa; otherwise Ursa; 50-50 if match canceled, delayed >7 days, or incomplete with no winner.
  • Kalshi Over 2.5 Maps: resolves to Yes if 3+ maps played; No if fewer than 3 maps.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Series Clinch Before Map Completion: If one team clinches the series (e.g., wins 2-0) before Map 3 is played, Map 3 markets (winner, kills, rounds) resolve 50-50. Series-level markets (match winner, handicaps, games total) resolve based on the completed series.
  • Forfeit / Walkover / Disqualification: If a team forfeits or is disqualified before the match begins, match winner and series markets resolve 50-50. If forfeit occurs mid-series after at least one map is completed, the series resolves to the winning team if they have clinched (2 maps won); otherwise 50-50.
  • Incomplete Map (Match Begins But Not Finished): If a map is concluded with a winner determined, map-specific markets resolve based on that completed map. If a map is not completed and no winner is determined, map-specific markets resolve 50-50. Series-level markets resolve 50-50 unless one team has already clinched.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days Without Play: If the match is delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date (April 10, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Map Remake: If a map is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only, not the original.

Timing:

Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes (all maps completed or series clinched). If HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours, credible consensus reporting is used. Markets settle once the final map result or series outcome is confirmed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.