TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$277,664,645

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,379,707,856

581,715

Markets across

14,439

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,118

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$47,064
PredictionHero
Match Winner 100%
polymarket
Map 2 Winner 100%
polymarket
Map 1 Winner 100%
polymarket
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 13, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Phantom and HEROIC Academy in the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against HEROIC Academy. This market will resolve to "HEROIC Academy" if HEROIC Academy win the match against Phantom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket differ in scope and resolution logic. Kalshi's market is a binary threshold question (over/under 2.5 maps), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets covering match winner, individual map winners, map totals, handicaps, and kill/round odd-even propositions. The platforms resolve different questions entirely rather than the same question differently.

Hero Tip:

These are not competing markets on the same event—they are fundamentally different products. Kalshi bettors are wagering only on whether 3+ maps are played. Polymarket bettors can wager on match outcome, individual map results, series length, handicaps, and granular kill/round statistics. Do not treat Kalshi's over/under 2.5 as a hedge for Polymarket's match winner; they measure different things. If you want exposure to the full match outcome and map-level detail, use Polymarket. If you want only the series length bet, Kalshi suffices.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market on series length only. The market resolves YES if 3 or more maps are played in the HEROIC Academy vs. Phantom match scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Resolution is based on whether the threshold of 2.5 maps is exceeded, with no information on match winner, individual map outcomes, or kill/round statistics. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the European Pro League Series 6 2026: HEROIC Academy vs. Phantom CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket:

    Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a comprehensive suite of 10 distinct markets covering match winner (Phantom vs. HEROIC Academy), individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), series length (Over/Under 2.5), map handicap (Phantom -1.5 vs. HEROIC Academy +1.5), and granular kill/round odd-even propositions for Maps 1, 2, and 3. All markets reference the same April 13, 4:00 AM ET match but resolve to different outcomes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Phantom if Phantom win the match against HEROIC Academy' and separately 'This market will resolve to Over if Phantom and HEROIC Academy play 3 or more maps in this series.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.