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Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group D
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Passion Academy vs eSuba?

Volume:
$12,017

eSuba

 - Kalshi

eSuba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 6:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

eSuba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,250
N/A
N/A
$2,921
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: eSuba (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: eSuba (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Passion Academy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,922
N/A
N/A
$1,586
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: eSuba (-9.5) vs Passion Academy (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: eSuba (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: eSuba (-6.5) vs Passion Academy (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Passion Academy and eSuba scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the United21 Group D tournament. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, total games played, map handicap, and round totals across maps 1-3, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (eSuba win and Passion Academy win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent market has coherent binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade or settle against Kalshi's match winner market. Use Polymarket's match winner market (Question 6) as the authoritative binary resolution. All Polymarket subsidiary markets (Map 1/2 winners, games total, handicap, round totals) are logically sound and use consistent HLTV.org sourcing with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If eSuba wins the United21 2026: eSuba vs. Passion Academy CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Passion Academy wins the United21 2026: eSuba vs. Passion Academy CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where all outcomes resolve identically.
  • Polymarket: Match winner market (Question 6) resolves to 'Passion Academy' if Passion Academy wins, 'eSuba' if eSuba wins. Cancellations, ties, forfeits, or delays beyond 7 days without a winner resolve 50-50. Incomplete matches with forfeit/disqualification resolve to the winning team. Clear binary logic with defined edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Passion Academy and eSuba in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion Academy" if Passion Academy win the match against eSuba. This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against Passion Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If eSuba wins the United21 2026: eSuba vs. Passion Academy CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Passion Academy wins the United21 2026: eSuba vs. Passion Academy CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than traditional sportsbook models. Instead of fixed odds set by oddsmakers, traders continuously buy and sell shares, allowing prices to reflect real-time sentiment and information flow. This market-driven approach often captures emerging data—roster changes, recent form, or injury news—faster than conventional sportsbooks update their lines. However, prediction market liquidity and depth vary by platform, which can affect price stability and how closely odds track underlying probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi structure their markets differently, which naturally produces price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket focuses on binary match outcomes, while Kalshi emphasizes map handicaps, attracting traders with distinct analytical frameworks and risk appetites. Liquidity depth, user geography, and fee structures also vary between platforms, meaning the same underlying event can trade at different implied probabilities. Arbitrage opportunities occasionally emerge, though transaction costs and settlement timing typically prevent perfect convergence.