TOTAL VOLUME:

$53.9b

24H VOL:

$231,847,320

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,314,157,835

499,417

Markets across

14,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,754

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Volume:
$1,866,001
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between PARIVISION and Wildcard in the PGL Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 8 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Wildcard. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes and event structures. Kalshi's markets resolve based on Map 1 outcome only (binary: either team wins Map 1 = Yes), while Polymarket offers granular markets on individual map statistics (kills, rounds) and series-level outcomes. The two platforms are not resolving the same underlying event.

Hero Tip:

Kalshi's Map 1 markets are a binary gate (either PARIVISION or Wildcard wins Map 1, both resolve YES on Kalshi). Polymarket's markets require the full series to be played and individual map data to be recorded. If the series is forfeited, canceled, or Map 3 is never played, Kalshi and Polymarket will diverge significantly. Do not assume Kalshi's YES outcome on Map 1 predicts Polymarket's series winner or map statistics.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi operates a binary gate structure where both markets (Map 1 winner for either team) resolve YES if that team wins Map 1. The resolution is independent of the series outcome, Map 2, or Map 3. Quote: 'If PARIVISION wins map 1... the market resolves to Yes. If Wildcard wins map 1... the market resolves to Yes.' This means exactly one of the two Kalshi markets will resolve YES, but the series may continue regardless.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers series-level and map-specific markets (series winner, Map 1/2/3 winners, odd/even kills/rounds per map, games total, handicap). Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to actual match outcomes and statistics. For example, the series winner resolves based on who wins the BO3, while Map 3 odd/even kills resolves to 50-50 if Map 3 is never played. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Wildcard... If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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