Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Volume:
$148,329
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between PARIVISION and SemperFi Esports in ESL Pro League Stage 1, scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. Markets span match winner, map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played (Over/Under 2.5), and map handicap outcomes. All markets reference HLTV.org as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour publication window before fallback to credible consensus reporting.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket share identical resolution logic, source hierarchy, edge-case handling, and timing requirements across all five market types.
Primary resolution logic:
Official HLTV.org results within 2 hours of match conclusion; credible consensus reporting (including video evidence) if HLTV.org does not publish within 2 hours.
Core resolution logic:
Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-3 series (first to 2 map wins).
Total maps (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played.
Map handicap (PRV -1.5 vs SemperFi +1.5) resolves to PARIVISION if they win 2+ more maps than SemperFi; otherwise to SemperFi.
Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2) resolve based on the winner of that specific map if completed.
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward all totals and handicaps, provided the match is completed.
Clinching map forfeits count as completed matches for resolution purposes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Canceled or Not Played: All markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled entirely or not played at all.
Tie or Delay Beyond 7 Days: All markets resolve 50-50 if the match ends in a tie or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined.
Incomplete Match with Pre-Start Forfeit: Match winner market resolves 50-50 if the match ends due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start (team withdraws automatically). Total maps and map handicap also resolve 50-50 in this scenario.
Incomplete Match with Post-Start Forfeit (Non-Clinching): Match winner resolves to the non-forfeiting team. Total maps and map handicap resolve 50-50 if the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture (except clinching map forfeit).
Clinching Map Forfeit: If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited, this counts as a completed match and resolves normally (the forfeiting team loses that map, determining the series winner).
Individual Map Not Completed: Map 1 and Map 2 markets resolve 50-50 if that specific map is not completed for any reason.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes on March 1, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if delayed within 7 days). If HLTV.org does not publish results within 2 hours, credible consensus reporting is used immediately thereafter. Markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.