TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win PARIVISION vs Alliance?

Volume:
$795,078

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$558,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,855
$6,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

PARIVISION

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$90,471
N/A
N/A
$64,944
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alliance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129,157
N/A
N/A
$111,782
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-One match between PARIVISION and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, Map 1 round totals, and round handicaps, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: it states both PARIVISION winning and Alliance winning resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No framework. Predict and Polymarket define mutually exclusive winner outcomes, but Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market—it is logically unresolvable. For match winner exposure, use Predict or Polymarket. For Map 1 round markets (Polymarket only), verify Map 1 plays to completion; any forfeit, disqualification, or incomplete play triggers 50-50 resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary match winner: resolves to PARIVISION if PARIVISION wins; Alliance if Alliance wins. Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50. Completed matches with in-match forfeits resolve to the winning team. Resolution source: HLTV.org, or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match Winner—identical logic to Predict. (2) Map 1 Total Rounds Over/Under 21.5—resolves on combined round count only if Map 1 completes; incomplete or forfeit Map 1 resolves 50-50. (3) Map 1 Rounds Handicap—PARIVISION wins if margin exceeds 4 rounds; otherwise Alliance wins. All require Map 1 completion; forfeits resolve 50-50. Resolution source: HLTV.org or credible consensus within 2 hours.
  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: Market states 'If PARIVISION wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alliance wins... then resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory in a binary Yes/No market. No edge cases, cancellation rules, or tie handling are defined. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between PARIVISION and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Alliance vs. PARIVISION CS2 match in the XSE Pro League 2026, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The market resolves based on which team wins the match.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between PARIVISION and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracking this match operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which means prices reflect pure supply and demand without a house edge built in. Sportsbooks, by contrast, embed profit margins and may adjust lines based on liability management rather than true probability. Prediction markets often converge on sharper odds closer to event time because traders have real capital at stake and face arbitrage pressure. For this matchup, comparing the prediction market consensus to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence. Polymarket may see heavier volume from certain regions or trading strategies, while Predict's user base might weight recent team performance or roster changes differently. Latency in information flow between platforms, combined with different settlement rule interpretations or dispute resolution histories, can also widen spreads. These gaps typically narrow as the match approaches and arbitrageurs exploit mispricings, but they create opportunities for informed traders to identify which platform is undervaluing or overvaluing the outcome.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute substitutions announced before the match can shift odds significantly. Recent map pool updates or patch changes to Counter-Strike may favor one team's playstyle, prompting repricing. Head-to-head results and scrim performance leaking into the community often trigger volume spikes and price movement. Betting syndicates or professional teams positioning ahead of the fixture can also signal confidence, moving the market sharply. Monitor team social media, esports news outlets, and betting forums for lineup confirmations and strategic intel that traders use to adjust their positions.