TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 12:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether paiN will win the Counter-Strike match against Turma do Pagode in the FERJEE In House Group A, with resolution based on the outcome reported at https://hltv.org. Currently, the probability of paiN winning, specifically with a Map 3 Rounds Handicap of -3.5 against Turma do Pagode’s +3.5, is 100.0%. The market will be settled following the completion of the match, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, so keep a close eye on the match start time to understand when resolution will occur.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between paiN and Turma do Pagode in the FERJEE In House Group A, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Turma do Pagode. This market will resolve to "Turma do Pagode" if Turma do Pagode win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the perceived public’s betting tendencies, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to different probability assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing information about team form or player availability. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s consensus expectation of whether paiN or Turma do Pagode will win the BO3 series. The more traders believe in an outcome, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Counter-Strike BO3 match between paiN and Turma do Pagode will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the event organizer, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially declared and processed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either paiN or Turma do Pagode, or updates on map veto strategies could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team coaching staff or even reports of internal team conflicts could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or analyst predictions, could drive increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.