TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between paiN and Sharks in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Sharks. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between paiN and Sharks in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Sharks. This market will resolve to "Sharks" if Sharks win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money stakes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders believe the consensus is mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal valuable arbitrage opportunities or signal where smart money is positioning itself ahead of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects the highest probability among all available results. As traders buy and sell shares, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that market odds stay responsive to new information and shifting expectations throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the actual result of the match as documented by official tournament sources and esports databases. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches, since any delays or disputes in official reporting could affect settlement timing. Once verified, the market will lock and distribute winnings to holders of the correct outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Team roster changes, player injuries, or unexpected roster substitutions announced before the match could trigger significant repricing. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and map pool strengths may influence trader positioning as the event date approaches. Analyst commentary and community sentiment on social media can also drive volume and price movement. Additionally, any official tournament updates regarding scheduling, format changes, or venue details could prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market.