TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs shimmer (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group B
Volume:
$15,953
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Outfit 49 and shimmer in the CCT North America Series #4 Group B, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 5:30 PM EDT. Markets span series outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), and handicap betting, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market definition contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (shimmer win and Outfit 49 win) resolve to Yes, making the market non-binary and fundamentally unresolvable as a prediction market. Polymarket and primary match markets correctly resolve to the actual winner.Hero Tip:
Flag the Kalshi market for immediate review. It appears to be a template error where the resolution logic was not properly differentiated between outcomes. For trading purposes, ignore Kalshi and rely on Polymarket and the primary match winner market (Outfit 49 vs shimmer). All map-specific markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, kills, rounds) are well-defined and consistent across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If shimmer wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Outfit 49 wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution, violating binary market logic. No differentiation between winners exists.
- Polymarket & Primary Match Market: Resolves to 'Outfit 49' if Outfit 49 wins, 'shimmer' if shimmer wins. Clear binary outcome. Fallback to 50-50 for cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Forfeits/walkovers after match begins resolve to the winning team.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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