TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Volume:
$60,528

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 23, 2026

Closed: Apr 22, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,854
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MASONIC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,458
N/A
N/A
$3,945
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

OLDBOYS-

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,757
N/A
N/A
$6,281
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between OLDBOYS- and MASONIC in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 22 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "OLDBOYS-" if OLDBOYS- win the match against MASONIC. This market will resolve to "MASONIC" if MASONIC win the match against OLDBOYS-. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and contradictory—it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (OLDBOYS- wins OR MASONIC wins the tournament), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket markets are well-defined and resolvable based on match-specific outcomes (map winners, kill/round counts). The Kalshi market cannot function as written.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of outcome, making it worthless for prediction. All meaningful trading should occur on Polymarket, where individual map and series outcomes are clearly defined and independently resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If OLDBOYS- wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If MASONIC wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, rendering it unresolvable. The market conflates tournament victory with match outcome and contains no NO resolution condition.
  • Polymarket: Markets are granular and logically sound: Map 1/2/3 winners, odd/even kills per map, odd/even rounds per map, series total maps (O/U 2.5), map handicap (-1.5/+1.5), and overall match winner. Each market has clear YES/NO or binary outcomes with explicit 50-50 fallback conditions (cancellation, delay >7 days, forfeit, no play). Resolution source is HLTV with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.