TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between OG and Nexus in the Roman Imperium Cup Group D, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope divergence: Polymarket resolves on the specific BO1 match result and Map 1 statistics, while Kalshi resolves on the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament outcome. These are distinct settlement events.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi markets will move together. Winning the BO1 match does not guarantee tournament victory. Treat these as separate trading opportunities with different risk profiles.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner (OG vs Nexus BO1), resolves to the team winning the single match; (2) Map 1 odd/even kills, resolves based on total combined kills in Map 1 only; (3) Map 1 odd/even rounds, resolves based on total combined rounds in Map 1 only. All resolve via HLTV.org within 2 hours of match conclusion, or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or forfeited before start. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Nexus.'Kalshi:
Two binary markets (Nexus wins tournament / OG wins tournament), both referencing the Mar 13, 2026 match but resolving to Yes only if that team wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament, not merely the BO1 match. Key Quote: 'If Nexus wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Nexus vs. OG CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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