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400,720

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Volume:
$2,149,266

Map 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 23, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 4:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$392,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,163
N/A
N/A
$1,495
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,499,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between NRG and FURIA in the BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A, initially scheduled for March 22 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the core settlement metric: Kalshi resolves on whether over 2.5 maps are played (a single binary outcome), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets covering match winner, individual map winners, map-level statistics (rounds/kills), and map handicaps. The platforms are measuring fundamentally different dimensions of the same event.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on series length (3+ maps = Yes). On Polymarket, you have granular exposure to match outcome, map-by-map results, and statistical properties. Do not assume a Kalshi YES position hedges or correlates perfectly with Polymarket positions—they resolve independently on different metrics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single binary market resolving YES if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps in the BO3 series). The resolution source is official event data, with no granular map-level or match-outcome markets provided. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026: FURIA vs. NRG CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 11 separate markets covering match winner (NRG vs FURIA), individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), map-level statistics (Odd/Even total rounds and kills for Maps 1, 2, 3), series length (Over/Under 2.5 maps), and map handicaps (FURIA -1.5 and NRG -1.5). Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to HLTV.org as primary source. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against FURIA' and 'This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.