TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
Volume:
$27,311
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Ninjas in Pyjamas (NIP) and SAW in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET. Markets track the match winner, map 1 kill parity, and map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope divergence: Polymarket resolves on match outcome (BO1 winner and map statistics), while Kalshi resolves on tournament outcome (Roman Imperium Cup winner). The same match event triggers both, but settlement targets are different.Hero Tip:
Winning the NIP vs SAW match does not guarantee winning the Roman Imperium Cup. Polymarket match markets and Kalshi tournament markets are independent settlement events. Confirm which scope applies to your position before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves on match winner (NIP or SAW) and map 1 statistics (kill/round parity). Forfeit/walkover before start = 50-50. Incomplete match with forfeiture = winner takes it. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, else credible consensus with video evidence.
- Kalshi: Resolves Yes if SAW or NIP wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament (not just the group stage match). The March 12 match is the reference event, but resolution depends on full tournament results, not match outcome alone.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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