TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 4 match between NIP and K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against NIP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 4 match between NIP and K27 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against NIP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader participation and real-time supply and demand. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants rather than relying on a single operator's assessment. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and amateur traders diverge in their confidence about the match outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to purchase a share reflecting an NIP victory or a K27 victory moves up or down as traders transact, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. Liquidity providers and speculators interact with the same order book, so prices reflect the marginal trader's conviction at any given moment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news and team performance data.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which team wins the best-of-three series under the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs format. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative result before payouts are finalized.
Several factors could shift odds before the match begins. Roster changes, player injuries, or roster substitutions announced by either team would likely trigger repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in prior Stake Ranked episodes influence trader sentiment. Coaching adjustments, map pool updates, or leaked scrim results can also sway conviction. As the event date approaches, any official statements from team management or unexpected roster news could cause sharp moves in this market's price.