TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
Volume:
$15,205
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between NIP and EYEBALLERS in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 round totals (odd/even), and Map 1 kill totals (odd/even), with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets condition on tournament winner (Roman Imperium Cup 2026 outcome), while Polymarket markets condition on the specific NIP vs EYEBALLERS match result and Map 1 statistics. This creates a scope mismatch where the same match can have different resolution outcomes across platforms.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's markets are fundamentally different instruments: they resolve Yes if either team wins the tournament, not based on the head-to-head match. Polymarket's match winner market directly reflects the match outcome. Do not assume these markets move together. If you want pure match-outcome exposure, use Polymarket. If you want tournament-outcome exposure, use Kalshi, but understand that both NIP and EYEBALLERS winning the tournament triggers a Yes resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both markets (EYEBALLERS wins tournament and NIP wins tournament) resolve to Yes if either team wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026. These are tournament-outcome markets, not match-outcome markets. Key Quote: 'If EYEBALLERS wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: EYEBALLERS vs. NIP CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If NIP wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: EYEBALLERS vs. NIP CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Match winner market resolves directly to NIP or EYEBALLERS based on the head-to-head match result. Map 1 markets resolve based on actual Map 1 statistics (rounds and kills odd/even). All markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to NIP if NIP win the match against EYEBALLERS. This market will resolve to EYEBALLERS if EYEBALLERS win the match against NIP.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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