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406,019

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
predict
polymarket

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Volume:
$3,353,033

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

 - Polymarket

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$356,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$11,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$6,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,660,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,055
$35,002
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-15.5) vs Natus Vincere (+15.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs Natus Vincere (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-12.5) vs Natus Vincere (+12.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks the map handicap outcome in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and Spirit at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. The aggregated consensus across Predict and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5). Resolution will be determined by HLTV.org, with fallback to credible consensus reporting with video evidence if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled June 11, 2024 at 12:30 PM ET to see how the map count unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution logic: HLTV.org as primary source, 2-hour fallback to credible consensus, 50-50 for cancellations/delays beyond 7 days/match-start forfeits, and map completion requirements for map-specific markets.Primary resolution logic: HLTV.org (official esports database); fallback to credible consensus reporting with video evidence if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (BO3) resolves to the team winning 2 maps; forfeits during play count toward map total, but forfeits before match start resolve 50-50
  • Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2, Map 3) resolve based on the team winning that map if played to completion; incomplete maps resolve 50-50
  • Map round handicaps (e.g., Spirit -3.5) resolve based on final round differential on that map only if the map is played to completion with rounds actually played; forfeit/disqualification/walkover on a map resolves that map market 50-50
  • Round totals (Over/Under 21.5) resolve based on combined rounds played on that specific map if completed; incomplete maps resolve 50-50
  • Map count handicap (Spirit -1.5) resolves based on total maps won by each team; forfeits of the clinching map count as a completed match
  • Games total (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer; forfeits of the clinching map count as a completed match
  • Team name matching uses underlying real-world team identity, not exact string matching; minor spelling, sponsor tags, and regional identifiers are treated as the same team

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation or Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (June 11) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Forfeit Before Match Start: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks away before the match begins, the match outcome and map count markets resolve 50-50; however, if play begins and a team forfeits mid-series, the opponent wins and the market resolves to that team
  • Incomplete Map: If a map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played, that map's winner market and round-based markets (handicap, totals) resolve 50-50
  • Clinching Map Forfeit: If the map that clinches the series is forfeited, this counts as a completed match; the team winning the forfeit wins the series and the map count market resolves accordingly
  • HLTV Reporting Delay: If HLTV.org does not publish final results within 2 hours of event conclusion, credible consensus reporting with video evidence may be used as the resolution source
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps played or series clinched). If HLTV.org publishes results within 2 hours of conclusion, markets resolve immediately upon publication. If HLTV is delayed, resolution may occur up to 2 hours after event conclusion once credible consensus is established.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading volume for this best-of-three matchup across Polymarket and Predict, two leading decentralized prediction platforms. It displays the consensus probability that Natus Vincere defeats Spirit in this IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 encounter, alongside current market depth and liquidity metrics. By tracking both platforms simultaneously, the dashboard reveals how professional traders and esports analysts are pricing this high-stakes Counter-Strike competition, offering a cross-platform view of aggregate market sentiment and relative confidence in each team's chances.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different risk profiles and liquidity constraints than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks apply fixed margins and regulatory oversight, while decentralized prediction markets are driven purely by peer-to-peer trading. For this Natus Vincere versus Spirit matchup, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in participant sophistication, capital availability, and real-time information flow. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify value and understand how professional esports betting communities assess this Major Stage 3 encounter.

Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced before the match, recent tournament performance and map pool trends for both teams, and any injury or availability updates affecting core players. Pre-match scrimmage results and team statements can shift market sentiment. During the series itself, live map outcomes, economic momentum shifts, and tactical adjustments will drive real-time repricing on both Polymarket and Predict. Major upsets in earlier Stage 3 matches or unexpected bans and picks during the Natus Vincere versus Spirit series will also influence trader positioning and odds movement.